SPDN: An Inexpensive Way To Profit When The S&P 500 Falls

Summary
SPDN is not the largest or oldest way to short the S&P 500, but it’s a solid choice.
This ETF uses a variety of financial instruments to target a return opposite that of the S&P 500 Index.
SPDN’s 0.49% Expense Ratio is nearly half that of the larger, longer-tenured -1x Inverse S&P 500 ETF.
Details aside, the potential continuation of the equity bear market makes single-inverse ETFs an investment segment investor should be familiar with.
We rate SPDN a Strong Buy because we believe the risks of a continued bear market greatly outweigh the possibility of a quick return to a bull market.
Put a gear stick into R position, (Reverse).
Birdlkportfolio

By Rob Isbitts

Summary
The S&P 500 is in a bear market, and we don’t see a quick-fix. Many investors assume the only way to navigate a potentially long-term bear market is to hide in cash, day-trade or “just hang in there” while the bear takes their retirement nest egg.

The Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bear 1X ETF (NYSEARCA:SPDN) is one of a class of single-inverse ETFs that allow investors to profit from down moves in the stock market.

SPDN is an unleveraged, liquid, low-cost way to either try to hedge an equity portfolio, profit from a decline in the S&P 500, or both. We rate it a Strong Buy, given our concern about the intermediate-term outlook for the global equity market.

Strategy
SPDN keeps it simple. If the S&P 500 goes up by X%, it should go down by X%. The opposite is also expected.

Proprietary ETF Grades
Offense/Defense: Defense

Segment: Inverse Equity

Sub-Segment: Inverse S&P 500

Correlation (vs. S&P 500): Very High (inverse)

Expected Volatility (vs. S&P 500): Similar (but opposite)

Holding Analysis
SPDN does not rely on shorting individual stocks in the S&P 500. Instead, the managers typically use a combination of futures, swaps and other derivative instruments to create a portfolio that consistently aims to deliver the opposite of what the S&P 500 does.

Strengths
SPDN is a fairly “no-frills” way to do what many investors probably wished they could do during the first 9 months of 2022 and in past bear markets: find something that goes up when the “market” goes down. After all, bonds are not the answer they used to be, commodities like gold have, shall we say, lost their luster. And moving to cash creates the issue of making two correct timing decisions, when to get in and when to get out. SPDN and its single-inverse ETF brethren offer a liquid tool to use in a variety of ways, depending on what a particular investor wants to achieve.

Weaknesses
The weakness of any inverse ETF is that it does the opposite of what the market does, when the market goes up. So, even in bear markets when the broader market trend is down, sharp bear market rallies (or any rallies for that matter) in the S&P 500 will cause SPDN to drop as much as the market goes up.

Opportunities
While inverse ETFs have a reputation in some circles as nothing more than day-trading vehicles, our own experience with them is, pardon the pun, exactly the opposite! We encourage investors to try to better-understand single inverse ETFs like SPDN. While traders tend to gravitate to leveraged inverse ETFs (which actually are day-trading tools), we believe that in an extended bear market, SPDN and its ilk could be a game-saver for many portfolios.

Threats
SPDN and most other single inverse ETFs are vulnerable to a sustained rise in the price of the index it aims to deliver the inverse of. But that threat of loss in a rising market means that when an investor considers SPDN, they should also have a game plan for how and when they will deploy this unique portfolio weapon.

Proprietary Technical Ratings
Short-Term Rating (next 3 months): Strong Buy

Long-Term Rating (next 12 months): Buy

Conclusions
ETF Quality Opinion
SPDN does what it aims to do, and has done so for over 6 years now. For a while, it was largely-ignored, given the existence of a similar ETF that has been around much longer. But the more tenured SPDN has become, the more attractive it looks as an alternative.

ETF Investment Opinion

SPDN is rated Strong Buy because the S&P 500 continues to look as vulnerable to further decline. And, while the market bottomed in mid-June, rallied, then waffled since that time, our proprietary macro market indicators all point to much greater risk of a major decline from this level than a fast return to bull market glory. Thus, SPDN is at best a way to exploit and attack the bear, and at worst a hedge on an otherwise equity-laden portfolio.

Payday Loan – Its Benefits and Comparison With a Personal Loan

Upon getting information about an upcoming school science fair and the need to consider a topic of interest, many students will typically have no idea where to get started. While the science fair is typically a common occurrence in any school at any grade level, there are different types of topics that should be taken a look at depending on the age of the student. After first taking a look at the many different categories of science projects, you will be able to locate a suitable choice of topic to take to the next level.There is a wide variety of categories that fall under the types of science projects that can be chosen for a school science fair. These include biology, chemistry, physics, microbiology, biochemistry, medicine, environmental, mathematics, engineering, and earth science. While you may not have yet learned very much in any of these categories, don’t be afraid to see what each one entails. Taking a good look at your interests will allow you to focus on the right direction to take.Many resources are also available for those who are unsure as to the topic they are wanting to use to create their science projects. If you take a look at the topics that fall under the biology category, you will likely notice that there are topics that deal with plants, animals, and humans. For those who are in 2nd grade or 3rd grade, an interesting topic may be to determine if ants are picky over what type of food they eat. While this topic might not be of interest to an 8th grader, it is certainly something in the biology category that an elementary school student would enjoy.Along with the biology category, a high school student may want to take a look at diffusion and osmosis in animal cells as this would be a more appropriate topic for the grade level. A student in 6th grade would be more advanced than an elementary school student, but not as advanced as a high school student. At this middle school grade level, a topic of how pH levels effect the lifespan of a tadpole may be of interest.Whichever resource is used to locate a topic for science projects, it is always a good idea to consider the grade level of the student prior to making a selection. It is always assumed to be best to have a project at an appropriate level in order to keep the attention of the student and provide a fun and enjoyable learning experience.

Your Online Success Depends On Selecting The Right SEO Firm – Remember That!

More than ever before, the need for selecting an amicable and trusted SEO Firm has become immense now. The competition in every field of online marketing has become tougher – thanks to the mushroom growth of websites, crossing one billion already. In this rat-race, how your website can bring forth desired results, unless it is popularized by ethical, meaningful and technology-upgraded Search Engine Optimization efforts?Talking of SEO techniques and tactics, you must understand that these are frequently changing phenomena. In line with the Algorithm Updates (priority of picking and projecting websites by Search Engine crawlers) the SEO tactics have changed vastly, over the recent years. More clearly, the SEO strategies adopted even by a Top SEO Company, believed to be effective till recently have lost their charm – like stuffing of keywords inside the web-content, mindlessly without context.With this changed scenario obtaining, to follow proven and successful SEO strategies that can guarantee top-ranking by popular Search Engine Page Results, you have to be even more careful in entrusting the website promotion project, only to professional SEO Specialists.How to choose the Top SEO Company? Here are important tips:1. Define your SEO requirements clearly:The objective of every website floated online is to meet with success – either highest profit or growth for online businesses or immense popularity for service-oriented sites. This is achieved only according to the aspirations of the site owners. For example, as the owner, you may need to achieve reasonable increase in volume of business in the next 3 months – this may be quantified in percentage. Some other website owner can desire differently and in different volume.If only you are determined of the target in your mind thus, prior to allotting the SEO task to the SEO Services Company, you can measure the success rate after end of this period, once the SEO Services Company finishes its SEO efforts.2. Get a Comprehensive Service provider for SEO: As mentioned earlier, SEO Services of today have become complex. Search Engines stipulate stiffer conditions for ranking a site at the top, as a measure of eliminating substandard sites and preventing them from getting the top-ranks, by illicit methods. The SEO Company you select should be the one that can render comprehensive services, relating to SEO from “A” to “Z”.For example, a result-oriented SEO Company, that has credible track records in SEO tactics should start with complete analysis of your website, including web design, to find out where it stands Search Engine ranking-wise, and suggest to you fruitful corrective methods.In addition, today’s SEO firms are to run that extra-mile, in not only bringing forth huge visitor-traffic to your site, but also prune your website’s content suitably. This pruning will help to provide happy consumer-experience, to convert visitors into buyers, then loyal customers and later on canvassing agents by the usefulness of your website, to their friends.3. Keep your search wider:It is your website that is going to suffer by selecting a so-so SEO firm. Therefore, you have every liberty to widen your dragnet and take free-consultation offered by multiple SEO Companies, to come to an informed decision. Gathering as much details as possible with regard to their services, capabilities, track-records and of course the cost involved will put you in a better standing, in implementing your choice.Check the credentials of the Top SEO Company carefully given from websites of your size, field and industry. If those sites have been promoted into prominence by the SEO Company in question, you can be sure that the SEO Company has the required capabilities to promote your site also very well.4. See only the merit and not size:It is not necessary that the so-called big names of SEO companies can only deliver results. Irrespective of the size, the professionalism of the SEO specialists is all that is going to achieve your objective. So be smart and select your right SEO Company (which must invariably be the Top SEO Company) that can work according to your wishes, aspirations and budget, to be a happy winner of online success.